Tuesday, March 16, 2010

Sustainable Return on Investment?

I read in the paper this morning that CalPERS' consultant thinks the fund's ROI will average 7.84% during the next decade. But a model is only as good as its assumptions.
I fear that Wilshire's model, like virtually every economic model in use, conceives of money as the independent variable, when in fact it must always be the dependent one.

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